Showing posts with label ISV. Show all posts
Showing posts with label ISV. Show all posts

Monday, June 25, 2007

ISV (Insite Vision): Waiting to be Cleared for Take-Off

This share totally perplexes me. It's a company with a lot of success in getting products approved by the FDA yet investors have ignored it. Well, not this investor. I'm deep into this bad boy and I'm going to wait patiently until ground control gives us clearance for take-off.

So why am I sitting pretty? Back in April, InSite Vision won FDA approval for lead product AzaSite, which treats certain eye infections. It's planning a late-third-quarter domestic product launch from partner Inspire Pharmaceuticals which licensed the product back in February. If you need estimates, AzaSite is expected to launch in the late third quarter of this year, and Inspire has provided full-year 2008 sales guidance of $30 million to $45 million. My peak domestic sales estimate for AzaSite is $100 million in 2010, or roughly a 25% share of what should be a $417 million market, assuming just 5% compounded growth. So what it comes down to is that this is a company that currently makes no money and the estimates listed above are terribly conservative in that they don't even make mention of international sales at all.

I might also mention the public desire for this stock to be bought out by Inspire Pharma for $4-$5 a share.



Notes:
In Portfolio: In at 1.38
Duration: For the longterm Baby!
Remember: Snoopy Sno-Cone Machines?

Monday, March 5, 2007

Resolve, Resolve, Resolve

I think it's appropiate to write now that the market has been taken out to the woodshed and been given the beating of a lifetime. Like everyone else, I'm still bleeding... badly. So the question is, what do you do? The bleeding seems to never end and yes, it's scary... really, really scary.

So let's pull it back a little and go through the list and see how we are doing? Well, first off, I'm in much better shape than from where we started (I'm where I started with the market down 15% from where I started). OK, so we're in good shape. So let's take a look at the picks and re-evaluate. Sell the ones that we're not confident in, and keep (maybe invest more into) the stocks that we like.

I guess what I'm trying to say is this: If you really like your picks, why are you bailing out so early? It's easy to stay in when things are good however I will personally say that my best gains have come from sticking it out; In and out of the stock market.

So here's mine, how did yours pan out?

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AMD - Yes, They are getting their asses kicked but at some point, they're going to turn the corner and I'm going to be there. It doesn't have much more to fall but buy more as it goes down. Accumulate.

BBI - I still like this stock. It's a superior product to Netflix and they are already laying the groundwork for online downloads. To $20 Scotty! Hold.

COGT - Pursuing more than 20 significant projects in more than 15 countries and any new contracts will send this bad boy soaring. It'll disappear if it goes any lower. Hold.

EXEL - Just like Cogent. It has so many products in the pipeline and is so small that any approval will send this bad boy soaring. Accumulate.

GTW - Ya ya, but I only have a small bet for a turnaround prospect. Leave me alone. Hold.

ISV - It's a 5 star stock on CAPS and is at a low price but I'm ashamed to admit that I only bought the stock because my fiance has it as well. Can't let her have all the fun. Besides, it's a tiny bet. Hold.

WFMI - Now I got out of this one after it jumped 5 dollars two weeks ago. I've always been iffy on a couple of sectors and they are the airline industry and the supermarket industry. Sell

LOOP - It's still higher than the $13.50 price that I got into it with. I'm personally am excited about this one. Hold.

PANL - I am so enamored by the potential of this company's technology. It's lower than what I bought it at and I'll buy more as it goes down. Accumulate.

RRGB - I have a decent bet in this stock and it's still higher than what I bought it at. I can't wait to see how this one rebounds once the market starts to go back up again. Hold.

SBUX - Near 52 week lows and I will continue to buy more as it goes down. Accumulate.

USO - It's higher than where I bought it at and Crude Oil 'ain't' going nowhere but up. Hold.

VLO - It's much higher than where I bought it at and it's gas. Enough said. Hold.

KANA - I only have a small bet for a turnaround prospect. Haven't lost anything, didn't make anything. To be honest, I'm really just in this stock because my uncle Chuck has this as one of his big potentials. Nothing beats making money with your friends and family. Hold.

YHOO - It's way higher than where I bought it at and Panama is picking up traction earlier than expected. Hold.

ATVI - The game companies are still gaining tracking. I'll be buying more as this stock goes down. Accumulate.